There hasn’t been much change in the market over the past week. Bitcoin got rejected from the first supply level I talked about in the previous update. But let’s get straight to the point. The current narrative is that war headlines will determine the next move in the market. Is it up or down depending … Lue lisää
Oil moved violently over the weekend. Prices surged from around $90 to briefly touch $115 during the Sunday–Monday session, before falling back below $80 by Monday evening. With tensions in the Middle East dominating headlines, many investors assume that oil and geopolitics will now determine the direction of markets in the coming weeks and months. … Lue lisää
Anyone who begins investing should first reflect on one simple question: how much risk can you truly tolerate? When losses begin to exceed your personal risk tolerance, the body reacts. The sympathetic nervous system activates the classic fight-or-flight response. At that point rational decision-making becomes difficult. Losses simply feel worse than gains of the same … Lue lisää
“Bitcoin rises when money flows into the system.” This phrase is repeated often in crypto markets, but very few people stop to ask what it actually means. Liquidity is not a single number. It is the result of several mechanisms that determine how much money is actually circulating in the financial system. To understand this … Lue lisää
In a downtrend, the more likely scenario is continuation — making lower highs and lower lows. A liquidity sweep back into the previous range is possible, but for this to mark a true bottom, Bitcoin would need to reclaim $98,000 with strong spot-driven demand. At the moment, that remains the lower-probability scenario. Structure has not … Lue lisää
Bitcoin has been in a downtrend since October. I see a lot of posts saying Bitcoin is heading to 30k or that the bottom is in. But let’s closely monitor the scenarios. I decided to take profits at 100k on Bitcoin. The key signal was the break of the multiyear trendline, and several momentum and … Lue lisää
To understand Bitcoin’s volatility it makes sense to view the cycles it has had in the past. In April 2015, Bitcoin traded below $250. By the end of 2017, it had roughly an 8000% gain from the bear market lows. During 2018 Bitcoin dropped 84% down to slightly above $3,000. From the 2018 lows to … Lue lisää
”Bitcoin is too volatile.” ”Bitcoin is a fully debt-leveraged market.” These are the common criticisms often repeated in discussions about Bitcoin.A frequent claim is that Bitcoin is bad money because you never know what its value will be tomorrow. But the issue is far from black and white.In many cases, this argument stems from a … Lue lisää